Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 080600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2008 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 08/03/2008 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 12 (JOKWE) 940 HPA POSITION: 15.3S / 40.8E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND WITHIN AN OUTER BAND BETWEEN 90 NM AND 300 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/105 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/03/08 AT 18 UTC: 16.1S / 39.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, OVERLAND. 24H, VALID 2008/03/09 AT 06 UTC: 17.0S / 38.7E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, OVERLAND. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS SMALL SYSTEM REACTS VERY QUICKLY TO THE ENVIRONMENT, AND UNDERGOES THEREFORE RAPID VARIATIONS OF INTENSITY. LANDFALL ON MOZAMBIQUE COASTLINE IS EXPECTED THESE COMING HOURS BETWEEN THE ISLAND OF MOCAMBIQUE AND ANGOCHE CITY. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARDS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE GOING BACK OVER WATER AT A WEAK STAGE BUT WITH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS FAVOURABLE TO RE-INTENSIFICATION. MSLP IS HIGHER THAN USUAL FOR THIS INTENSITY STAGE.