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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO24 FMEE 111200
PAN PAN
HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/03/2008 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 028/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

HURRICANE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 11/03/2008 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 12 (JOKWE) 960 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.3S / 41.5E
(TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 11 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 140 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/70 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE
STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 110 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/03/12 AT 00 UTC:
25.4S / 41.0E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2008/03/12 AT 12 UTC:
25.9S / 40.3E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM IS WEAKENING UNDERGOING A WESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR.
IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON WEAKENING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARDS THEN WESTWARDS.
BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS, UNDERGOING A REBUILDING MID-LEVEL RIDGE IN ITS SOUTH AND A WEAKENED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND SHOULD RE-INTENSIFY.