Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
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WTIO24 FMEE 130000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/03/2008 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 034/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/03/2008 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 12 (JOKWE) 972 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.4S / 40.0E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: NORTH-NORTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING VERY LOCALLY UP TO 250 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 140 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 210 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/03/13 AT 12 UTC: 25.1S / 39.6E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2008/03/14 AT 00 UTC: 24.8S / 39.5E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: AFTER REMAINING QUASI-STATIONNARY BETWEEN 1000Z AND 1800Z UNDERGOING THE REBUILDING MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, JOKWE HAS MOVED AGAIN NORTHWESTWARDS. IT HAS PROGRESSIVELY RE-ORGANISED AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EYE AGAIN. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SLOWLY GLOBABALLY NORTHWARDS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL HIGHS CENTERED OVER ZIMBABWE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE, SYSTEM SHOULD THERFORE GRADUALLY INTENSIFY. THERE IS A SIGNIFICANTLY UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE FUTURE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM.