Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
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WTIO24 FMEE 131200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/03/2008 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 036/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/03/2008 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 12 (JOKWE) 975 HPA POSITION: 25.3S / 40.6E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: NORTH-EAST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER., EXTENDING UP TO 80 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND 50 MN IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND 60 MN IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT, 350 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT, AND 140 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/03/14 AT 00 UTC: 25.0S / 40.8E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2008/03/14 AT 12 UTC: 24.5S / 40.9E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: JOKWE HAS DISORGANIZED OVER THE LAST HOURS AND HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. THE POSSIBLE INTENSIFICATION - OR THE UPHOLDING OF THE CURRENT STAGE- IS STRONGLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK AS THE MOST FAVOURABLE CONDITIONS ARE LOCATED UPPER NORTH. THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE FORECAST TRACK.