Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 240600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/03/2008 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 24/03/2008 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 (EX-LOLA) 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.9S / 55.9E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: NORTH 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND LOCALLY WITHIN A PERIPHERAL BAND BETWEEN 120 AND 200 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR AND BETWEEN 200 AND 260 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR . CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER , VERY LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/03/24 AT 18 UTC: 13.7S / 55.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2008/03/25 AT 06 UTC: 13.8S / 56.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: RECENT SATELLITE DATAS CONFIRM A VERY ASYMMETRIC CIRCULATION, WITH WINDS REACHING THE NEAR GALE FORCE EXCLUSIVELY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO GRADIANT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. CENTER IS TOTALLY EXPOSED AND DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS ONLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. SYSTEM HAS TRACKED NORTHWARDS DURING THE LAST 12 HOURS UNDERGOING A MID LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED ON THE NORTHERN MALAGASY. WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, A DEEP AND BROAD POLAR TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE SOUTH OF THE MASCAREIGNES ARCHIPELAGO, THEREFORE EX-LOLA IS EXPECTED TRACKING SOUTHWARDS. UNDERGOING TEMPORARELY BETTER ENVIRONEMENTAL CONDITIONS, SYSTEM SHOULD SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY.