Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 241800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/03/2008 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 24/03/2008 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 (EX-LOLA) 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.7S / 56.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER , VERY LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/03/25 AT 06 UTC: 15.5S / 56.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2008/03/25 AT 18 UTC: 16.6S / 55.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: WINDS REACH VERY LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE EXCLUSIVELY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THUNDERY ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM IS VERY FLUCTUATING IN SPATIAL COVERAGE AND TIME. WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, A DEEP AND BROAD POLAR TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT IN THE SOUTH OF THE MASCARENES ARCHIPELAGO, TRACKING EX-LOLA TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN LATITUDES.