Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 250600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/03/2008 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 018/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 25/03/2008 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 (EX-LOLA) 997 HPA POSITION: 15.5S / 55.8E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE; EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER , REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/03/25 AT 18 UTC: 16.3S / 55.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2008/03/26 AT 06 UTC: 17.6S / 55.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: WINDS REACH LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. THUNDERY ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM IS VERY FLUCTUATING IN SPATIAL COVERAGE AND TIME; IT HAS REBUILT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE OVER THE LAST HOURS. WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS, A DEEP AND BROAD POLAR TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT IN THE SOUTH OF THE MASCARENES ARCHIPELAGO ; IT SHOULD ATTRACKT EX-LOLA TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN LATITUDES.