Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 260600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/03/2008 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 022/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 26/03/2008 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 (EX-LOLA) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.2S / 56.7E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 310 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND ALSO BETWEEN 200 NM AND 450 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT WITHIN A PERIPHERAL BAND. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER , REACHING VERY LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS BETWEEN 120 AND 250 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/03/26 AT 18 UTC: 20.2S / 57.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2008/03/27 AT 06 UTC: 21.8S / 58.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: LATEST MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSMIS/0414Z) SHOW A VERY ILL-DEFINED SYSTEM WITH MULTIPLE LLCC (A SMALL CIRCULATION IS VISIBLE NEAR 16.5S/55.4E, ANOTHER ONE NEAR 18.6S/55.7E AND ANOTHER ONE NEAR 18.6S/58E). THE MAIN CENTER, THAT IS MORE TO THE SOUTH EAST, IS STILL VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCALIZE EVEN WITH THIS KIND OF IMAGERY. QUICKSCATT PASS AT 0248Z STILL DEPICT THIS MAIN CENTER AND CONFIRMED THE WEAKNESS OF THE WINDFIELD. PRESENT FIX IS BAED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM LATEST MICROWAVE FIX AND ESTIMATION OF THE BARYCENTRE OF THIS COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE AREA.