Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 170000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/10/2008 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 17/10/2008 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 1001 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.4S / 68.3E (FIVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXIST WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, MAINLY WITHIN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM. WIDE CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25/30 KT AROUND THE CENTER, REACHING LOCALLY 30/35 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/10/17 AT 12 UTC: 5.7S / 67.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2008/10/18 AT 00 UTC: 6.4S / 66.7E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: EVEN IF DEEP CONVECTION STILL DEPENDS ON THE DIURNAL CYCLE (ENHANCING DURING THE NIGHT AND WEAKENING DURING THE DAY), CONVECTION HAS CLEARLY INCREASE IN THE END OF DAY, THE SYSTEM IS ORGANIZING AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS IMPROVING. HOWEVER THE CENTER REMAINS UNDER THE NORTH-EASTERN EDGE OF CONVECTION DUE TO MODERATE EAST-NORTH-EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A LIGHT INTENSIFICATION.