Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 181200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/10/2008 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 009/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 18/10/2008 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1000 HPA POSITION: 8.7S / 67.7E (EIGHT DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25KT AND ROUGH SEAS AROUND THE CENTER LOCALLY REACHING 30/35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS FAR FROM THE CENTER IN A BELT LOCATED BETWEEN 60NM AND 120NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANTS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/10/19 AT 00 UTC: 9.8S / 66.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2008/10/19 AT 12 UTC: 10.9S / 65.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE MAIN CENTER HAS BEEN RELOCATED. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT INTENSIFYING. THE LLCC IS TOTALLY EXPOSED NORTHEAST OF THUNDERSTORM CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, IT IS STILL BADLY DEFINED (AND NOT STABLE, WHAT'S INDUCE THE NECESSARY RELOCATION DURING THE LAST HOURS. THIS RELOCATION DOESN'T INDICATE A CHANGE OF DIRECTION OF THE TRACK, BUT THE RE-DEFINITION OF THE CENTER). STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANTS. THEY HAVE BEEN CALIBRATED ACCORDING TO 0520 Z ASCAT DATA. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK GLOBALLY SOUTHWESTWARDS AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY.