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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO20 FMEE 181800
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/10/2008 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 010/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 18/10/2008 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1000 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.9S / 67.0E
(EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER MAINLY EXTENDS UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25KT AND ROUGH SEAS AROUND THE CENTER LOCALLY REACHING 30/35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS FAR FROM THE CENTER WITHIN A BELT LOCATED BETWEEN 60NM AND 120NM IN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/10/19 AT 06 UTC:
10.0S / 65.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2008/10/19 AT 18 UTC:
11.3S / 64.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION (LLCC) IS STILL EXPOSED NORTHEAST OF THE THUNDERY ACTIVITY, BUT BECOMES BETTER DEFINED.

STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. THEY HAVE BEEN CALIBRATED ACCORDING TO SATELLITE DATA.

THIS SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK GLOBALLY SOUTHWESTWARDS AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY.