Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 200600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/10/2008 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 20/10/2008 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (ASMA) 985 HPA POSITION: 12.7S / 61.8E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDINGUP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/10/20 AT 18 UTC: 12.9S / 60.2E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2008/10/21 AT 06 UTC: 12.6S / 58.3E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED IN A RATHER FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT (MAINLY DUE TO THE DECREASING NORTHEASTERLY CONSTRAINT - VERTICAL WINDSHEAR- WHICH INHIBATED THE ORGANIZATION, AND WITH A RATHER GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW -DIVERGENCE). NEVERTHELESS, ITS INTENSIFICATION SHOULD BE LIMITED BY A RATHER POOR OCEAN CONTENT HEAT, WITH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF THE ORDER OF 26 TO 27 CELSIUS DEGREES ONLY. STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRLE MAINLY. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK WESTWARDS AND MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UP TO RANGE 36H.