Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 160000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/12/2008 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 16/12/2008 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.4S / 68.6E (NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHXESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE SEAS, LOCALLY REACHING 25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/12/16 AT 12 UTC: 9.6S / 67.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2008/12/17 AT 00 UTC: 9.8S / 65.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THUNDERY ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED TO THIS LOW HAS BUILT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE BUT REMAINS VERY SCATTERED AND THE SYSTEM BARELY ORGANIZES. STRONGER WINDS EXIST IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THIS LOW IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY WITHIN THE NEXT 72 HOURS. AT THIS STAGE, THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.