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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO20 FMEE 201200
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/12/2008 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 019/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 20/12/2008 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 (EX-CINDA) 998 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.1S / 62.6E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 4 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 75 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE AND FAR AWAY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT WITH SOME CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS PRESENT BETWEEN 15S AND 18S AND UP TO 75E .

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/12/21 AT 00 UTC:
14.7S / 61.3E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2008/12/21 AT 12 UTC:
15.2S / 60.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM HAS STRONGLY WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO THE TROPICAL DEPESSION STATUS.

IF THE CURRENT WEAKENING TREND SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS, A SLIGHT STRENGHENING IS POSSIBLE AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST.

STRONGER WINDS EXTEND ONLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.