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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO20 FMEE 210000
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/12/2008 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 021/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 21/12/2008 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 (EX-CINDA) 1000 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.4S / 62.1E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 5 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT .

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING VERY LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/12/21 AT 12 UTC:
16.0S / 61.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2008/12/22 AT 00 UTC:
16.5S / 60.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
WITH THE DIURNE CYCLE , CONVECTION HAS TEMPORALY REBUILT NEAR THE CENTER.

EVEN IF THE SYSTEM MAY STOP WEAKENING IN THE NEXT 12 OR 24 HOURS, GLOBALLY THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GO ON WEAKENING AS THE ENVIRONMENT REMAIN UNFAVORABLE.

STRONGER WINDS EXTEND ONLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.