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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO20 FMEE 081800
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/01/2009 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 08/01/2009 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 5 1002 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.3S / 70.0E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 350 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 450 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/01/09 AT 06 UTC:
15.3S / 68.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2009/01/09 AT 18 UTC:
16.1S / 66.7E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THIS SYSTEM SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED THUNDERY ACTIVITY EXTENDS FAR FROM THE CENTRE, UP TO 300 NM.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY REGULARLY, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS, AND THEN SOUTHWARDS BEYOND 24H.