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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO22 FMEE 171200 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/01/2009 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 001/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 17/01/2009 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 6 1005 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.3S / 55.2E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 KT AND MODERATE SEAS REACHING LOCALLY 25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/01/18 AT 00 UTC:
16.5S / 53.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2009/01/18 AT 12 UTC:
17.9S / 51.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM HAS PROGRESSIVELY SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. IT IS LOCATED AT ABOUT 330 NM NORTH OF LA REUNION. IT SHOULD TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR.
CURRENT INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY THE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR ADVISORY AT THIS TIME.