Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 180000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/01/2009 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 18/01/2009 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.6S / 52.6E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 14 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WIND S 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/01/18 AT 12 UTC: 16.2S / 51.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2009/01/19 AT 00 UTC: 17.6S / 50.5E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM HAS PROGRESSIVELY SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION, WITH DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING IN THE SOUTH PART OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. IT IS TRACKING WESTWARDS, BUT IT SHOULD SOON TAKE A GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARDS TRACK TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR.