Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
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WTIO22 FMEE 181800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/01/2009 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 18/01/2009 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.0S / 50.5E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 70 NM IN THE SOUTH EASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/01/19 AT 06 UTC: 18.8S / 49.7E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2009/01/19 AT 18 UTC: 20.8S / 48.9E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM HAS NOT CLEARLY INTENSIFYING AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL LOCATED SOUTH OF THE MAIN THUNDERY ACTIVITY. LLCC HAS BEEN RELOCATED. IT SEEMS TO HAVE BEGIN ITS SOUTHWESTWARDS TURN (CURRENT MOTION AND SPEED: 230°/6 KT) IT SHOULD THEN TRACK SOUTHWARDS TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR. IT SHOULD PROGRESSIVELY INTENSIFY AND COULD REACH THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM STAGE.