Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 180600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/01/2009 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 18/01/2009 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 7 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.0S / 42.5E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/01/18 AT 18 UTC: 20.7S / 42.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2009/01/19 AT 06 UTC: 20.6S / 41.6E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS LOW IS SHOWING RECENT SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVOURABLE FOR A REGULAR INTENSIFICATION. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONNARY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN RECURVE NORTHEASTWARDS THEN SOUTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS THE MALAGASY COASTLINES IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM NR6.