Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 181200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/01/2009 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 18/01/2009 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 7 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.5S / 41.9E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/01/19 AT 00 UTC: 21.4S / 40.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2009/01/19 AT 12 UTC: 20.8S / 40.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS IMPROVES THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STRENGHTEN REGULARELY AND TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARDS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN TO RECURVE NORTHEASTWARDS AND EASTWARDS IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM NR6. IT COULD MAKE LANDFALL BEYOND TAU 48H TO 60H NEAR MORONDAVE AT TROPICAL CYCLONE STAGE. A MORE EARLY LANDFALL WOULD LIMIT INTENSIFICATION.