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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO24 FMEE 181800
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/01/2009 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 18/01/2009 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 7 998 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.6S / 41.8E
(TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP
TO 250 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE
CENTER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/01/19 AT 06 UTC:
21.6S / 40.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2009/01/19 AT 18 UTC:
20.5S / 41.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARDS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN TO RECURVE NORTHEASTWARDS AND EASTWARDS IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM NR6. IT COULD MAKE LANDFALL BEYOND TAU 48H TO 60H NEAR MORONDAVE AT TROPICAL CYCLONE STAGE. A MORE EARLY LANDFALL WOULD LIMIT INTENSIFICATION.