Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 190000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/01/2009 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 19/01/2009 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 7 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.4S / 41.3E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. EXTENDING UP TO 40 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/01/19 AT 12 UTC: 21.1S / 41.2E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2009/01/20 AT 00 UTC: 20.9S / 41.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN TO RECURVE NORTHEASTWARDS AND EASTWARDS IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM NR6. IT COULD MAKE LANDFALL BEYOND TAU 48H TO 60H ON THE WESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR (IN THE MORONDAVE/MOROMBE AREA) AT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE STAGE. A MORE EARLY LANDFALL WOULD LIMIT INTENSIFICATION.