Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 190600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/01/2009 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 19/01/2009 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 7 (FANELE) 995 HPA POSITION: 21.5S / 40.7E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/01/19 AT 18 UTC: 21.1S / 40.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2009/01/20 AT 06 UTC: 20.1S / 41.3E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN TO RECURVE NORTHEASTWARDS AND EASTWARDS IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM NR6. IT COULD MAKE LANDFALL BEYOND TAU 48H TO 60H ON THE WESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR (IN THE MORONDAVE/MOROMBE AREA) AT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE STAGE. AN EARLIER LANDFALL WOULD LIMIT INTENSIFICATION.