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WTIO24 FMEE 191200
SECURITE
STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/01/2009 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 006/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

STORM WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 19/01/2009 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 7 (FANELE) 985 HPA
POSITION: 21.8S / 41.0E
(TWENTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY 2 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP
TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR.

STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE .
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/01/20 AT 00 UTC:
20.5S / 41.6E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2009/01/20 AT 12 UTC:
19.9S / 42.5E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE NORTHEASTWARDS AND EASTWARDS IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM NR6. IT COULD MAKE LANDFALL BEYOND TAU 36H TO 48H ON THE WESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR (IN THE MORONDAVE/MOROMBE AREA) AT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE STAGE.