Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 220000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/01/2009 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 22/01/2009 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 7 (EX-FANELE) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.8S / 48.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADARNT WITH SOME MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN THE CONLUENCE AREA BETWEEN THE TRADES FLOW IN THE SOUTH AND THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF EX-FANELE CIRCULATION. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25KT AND ROUGH SEAS, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITHIN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/01/22 AT 12 UTC: 25.1S / 49.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2009/01/23 AT 00 UTC: 26.7S / 51.7E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM HAS MOVED BACK OVER SEA SOUTH EAST OF MADAGASCAR AT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STAGE. IT COULD REINTENSIFY A LITTLE BIT TO REACH AGAIN THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAGE LATER AS IT KEEPS ON TRACKING GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARDS AT A GRADUALLY SLOWER SPEED. THE STRONGER WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOPUTHERN PART OF THE CIRCULATION DUE TO THE GRADIANT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGHS IN THE SOUTH..