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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO22 FMEE 221200
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/01/2009 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 018/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 22/01/2009 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 7 (FANELE) 994 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.2S / 50.6E
(TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 15 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 330 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 75 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-SIRCLE AND BETWEEN 60 NM AND 90 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT WITHIN A PERIPHERAL BAND.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 55 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 130 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.


FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/01/23 AT 00 UTC:
27.0S / 51.5E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2009/01/23 AT 12 UTC:
29.3S / 52.7E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
WINDS HAVE BEEN RECALIBRATED THANKS TO RECENT SATELLITE DATAS.
SYSTEM HAS SLIGHTLY RE-INTENSIFY AS EXPECTED TAKING BENEFIT OF FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.
THIS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARDS.
THE STRONGER WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES AND IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE OWN MOTION OF THE SYSTEM.