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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO20 FMEE 011200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/02/2009 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 001/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 01/02/2009 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 8 1007 HPA
POSITION: 15.1S / 70.4E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 300 NM RADIUS FROMM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE SEAS NEAR THE CENTER, REACHING LOCALLY 25 KT IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/02/02 AT 00 UTC:
15.4S / 69.6E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2009/02/02 AT 12 UTC:
15.4S / 68.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE NORTH IF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE MOONSON FLOW.
THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION IS NOW COMPLETLY EXPOSED IN THE NORTHEAST OF CONVECTION
ENVIRONNEMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE UP TO TAU 24H.

AT THIS STAGE OF INTENSITY, SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OG REGULAR WARNINGS.