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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO20 FMEE 020600
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/02/2009 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 002/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 02/02/2009 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8 1005 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.6S / 68.3E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 260 NM FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 530 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SECTOR TOWARDS THE SOUTH OF THE CHAGOS ARCHIPELAGO.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS REACHING LOCALLY 25 KT IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/02/02 AT 18 UTC:
15.8S / 67.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2009/02/03 AT 06 UTC:
16.3S / 66.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION IS STILL EXPOSED IN THE NORTHEAST OF CONVECTION.
ENVIRONNEMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE TOMORROW.
SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED.