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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO20 FMEE 021200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/02/2009 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 02/02/2009 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8 1003 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.1S / 67.2E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE UP TO 230 NM FROM THE CENTER, AND LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEASTERN SECTOR .

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS REACHING LOCALLY 25 KT IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/02/03 AT 00 UTC:
16.8S / 65.6E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2009/02/03 AT 12 UTC:
17.7S / 64.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED IN THE EAST OF CONVECTION.
ENVIRONNEMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE TOMORROW.
SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS STILL EXPECTED.