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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO20 FMEE 021800
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/02/2009 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 004/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 02/02/2009 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8 1000 HPA
POSITION: 16.3S / 66.4E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 8 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTER, AND LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEASTERN SECTOR .

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/02/03 AT 06 UTC:
17.1S / 64.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2009/02/03 AT 18 UTC:
17.6S / 62.5E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION IS IN THE EAST OF CONVECTION.
ENVIRONNEMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE TOMORROW.
SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS STILL EXPECTED.