Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 090600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/02/2009 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 031/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 09/02/2009 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 8 (GAEL) 950 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.2S / 56.4E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 16 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP WITHIN A PERIPHERAL BAND TO 360 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 90 MN IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 280 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 300 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER , EXTENDING UP TO 420 NM IN THEEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/02/09 AT 18 UTC: 30.1S / 58.2E, MAX WIND = 70 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2009/02/10 AT 06 UTC: 31.4S / 59.9E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: GAEL HAS ACCELERATED SOUTHEASTWARDS, AND UNDERGOES AGAIN NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SYSTEM IS HOWEVER EXPECTED TO UNDERGO LESS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ON COOLER SEAS AND EXPECTED TO WEAKEN. IT IS GOING TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARDS AND WEAKEN WITHIN A LESS AND LESS FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT.