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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO20 FMEE 241800
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/02/2009 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 015/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 24/02/2009 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 9 (EX-HINA) 1000 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.7S / 72.9E
(TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 13 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 320 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/02/25 AT 06 UTC:
22.1S / 70.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2009/02/25 AT 18 UTC:
24.4S / 69.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
REBUILDING DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY NEAR THE CENTER OVER THE RECENT PAST HOURS HAS STOPPED THE WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM BUT THUNDERY ACTIVITY IS THROWED AGAIN FAR IN THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER.
THE SYSTEM SHOULD INCURVE PROGRESSIVELY SOUTHWESTWARD THEN SOUTHWARDS AND NO RE-INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED DUE TO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.
STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.