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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO20 FMEE 081200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2009 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 002/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 08/03/2009 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10 1000 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.9S / 82.1E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 12 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 280 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 25 KT, EVEN NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/03/09 AT 00 UTC:
16.1S / 83.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2009/03/09 AT 12 UTC:
17.6S / 85.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THIS SYSTEM BARELY INTENSIFIES. IT SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHEASTWARDS FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS, VERY SLOWLY INTENSIFYING. BEYOND IT IS EXPECTED TO CURVE AND TRACK WESTWARDS.

AT THIS STAGE, THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.