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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO24 FMEE 240600
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/03/2009 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 001/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 24/03/2009 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11 1000 HPA
POSITION: 20.8S / 41.7E
(TWENTY DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 8 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS FRON THE CENTER, MAINLY IN THE NOTHERN AND SOUTHERN QUADRANTS.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT FAR FROM THE CENTER WINTHIN A CROWN OF 100 NM RADIUS, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/03/24 AT 18 UTC:
21.6S / 41.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2009/03/25 AT 06 UTC:
22.1S / 41.5E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS ALWAYS SHOWING A MOONSON DEPRESSION STRUCTURE OF WINDS WITH STRONGEST WINDS FAR FROM THE CENTER.
CONVECTION IS ORGANIZED INTO TWO LARGE CLUSTERS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITINS ARE FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK PROGRESSIVELY MORE SOUTHWARDS THEN SLOWING DOWN EAST SOUTH-EASTWARDS.