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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO24 FMEE 241200
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/03/2009 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 002/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 24/03/2009 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 998 HPA
POSITION: 21.6S / 41.2E
(TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH 7 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS FRON THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25/30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT FAR FROM THE CENTER WINTHIN A CROWN OF 100 NM RADIUS, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/03/25 AT 00 UTC:
22.3S / 41.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2009/03/25 AT 12 UTC:
22.6S / 41.0E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS ALWAYS SHOWING A MOONSON DEPRESSION STRUCTURE OF WINDS WITH STRONGEST WINDS FAR FROM THE CENTER.
CONVECTION IS NOW BETTER ORGANIZED, AND HAS BUILT OVER THE CENTER.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK PROGRESSIVELY MORE SLOWLY SOUTHWARDS THEN MORE EAST SOUTH-EASTWARDS UP TU TAU24, REMAINING OVER FAVORABLE SST.