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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO22 FMEE 041200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/04/2009 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 002/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/04/2009 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 1002 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.3S / 56.0E
(TWELVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 11 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
THE SYSTEM GENERATES ALSO PERIPHERAL RAINY-THUNDERY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY NORTH OF MALAGASY STRETCHING ALONG 6.9S/47.1 - 13.1S/51.5E AXIS AND ALSO ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE.


CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING VERY LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/04/05 AT 00 UTC:
13.3S / 54.6E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2009/04/05 AT 12 UTC:
14.3S / 53.5E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GLOBALLY SOUTHWESTWARDS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, INTENSIFYING REGULARELY.
STRONGESTS WINDS EXTEND IN THE SOUTH DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.