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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO24 FMEE 070000
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2009 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 012/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 07/04/2009 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 12 (EX-JADE)
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5S / 48.6E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 11 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 300 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING MAINLY UP TO MORE THAN 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN THE CONFLUENCE AREA BETWEEN THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND THE TRADEWINDS.


NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT LOCALLY REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY HIGH SEAS ALONG THE EASTERN MALAGASY COAST BETWEEN 15S AND 20S AND UP TO 130 NM FROM THE COAST.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/04/07 AT 12 UTC:
20.4S / 48.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, OVERLAND.
24H, VALID 2009/04/08 AT 00 UTC:
21.6S / 47.8E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, OVERLAND.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM IS WEAKENING OVERLAND AND HAVE TRACKED SOUTHWARDS FOR THE PAST HOURS.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS SHOULD PERSIST WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR.
THERE IS A STRONGER THAN USUAL UNCERTAINTY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FORECAST TRACK. IT IS NOT UNLIKELY THAT THE SYSTEM COULD MOVE BACK OVER WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 72 HOURS OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR.