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WTIO24 FMEE 071800
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2009 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 015/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 07/04/2009 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 12 (JADE) 994 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.8S / 49.1E
(TWENTY DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH 8 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE UP TO 300 NM, AND UP TO MORE THAN 700 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT WITHIN THE CONFLUENCE AREA BETWEEN THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND THE TRADEWINDS SOUTH TO 25S.


GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTER WITHIN TH EASTERN SEMI CIRCLE AND UP TO 30 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 190 NM FROM THE CENTER WITHIN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/04/08 AT 06 UTC:
21.8S / 48.7E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2009/04/08 AT 18 UTC:
22.5S / 48.3E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING ON A GENERAL SOUTHWARDS TRACK (190°/9KT) AND SHOULD SLOWING DOWN TOMORROW AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TEMPORALY REBUILT SOUTH TO MADAGASCAR.

AS THE SYSTEM IS BACK OVER QUIT WARM WATER, STRENGHENING IS ON THE WAY. HOWEVER, DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF LAND AND A GRADUAL DETERIORATION OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, INTENSIFICATION SHOULD BE LIMITED.