Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 081200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/04/2009 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 018/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 08/04/2009 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 12 (JADE) 991 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.0S / 49.3E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2009/04/09 AT 00 UTC: 22.5S / 49.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2009/04/09 AT 12 UTC: 23.0S / 48.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONNARY DURING THE LAST HOURS. ANOTHER LANDFALL ON MALAGASY IS NOT MORE EXPECTED THANKS TO THE NWP MODELS LAST CONSENSUS. THE LAST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR ANOTHER INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. JADE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS TRACK SOUTHWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS, AND THEN SOUTHEASTWARD AS WEAKENING.