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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 5/3/20052006
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3

2.A POSITION 2005/11/07 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S / 77.5E
(TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 040 SE: 250 SO: 250 NO: 040

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/11/08 06 UTC: 10.9S/77.4E, MAX WIND=025KT .
24H: 2005/11/08 18 UTC: 11.6S/77.0E, MAX WIND=025KT .
36H: 2005/11/09 06 UTC: 12.3S/76.5E, MAX WIND=025KT .
48H: 2005/11/09 18 UTC: 13.0S/75.9E, MAX WIND=025KT .
60H: 2005/11/10 06 UTC: 13.7S/75.2E, MAX WIND=025KT , DISSIPATING.
72H: 2005/11/10 18 UTC: 14.5S/74.5E DISSIPATED.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=2.0+, CI=2.5-
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS COMPLETELY DISORGANIZED. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION IS POOR.