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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/3/20052006
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3

2.A POSITION 2005/11/08 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.2S / 77.2E
(TEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 040 SE: 250 SO: 250 NO: 040

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/11/08 12 UTC: 11.1S/77.1E, MAX WIND=025KT.
24H: 2005/11/09 00 UTC: 12.1S/76.7E, MAX WIND=025KT.
36H: 2005/11/09 12 UTC: 13.2S/75.8E, MAX WIND=025KT.
48H: 2005/11/10 00 UTC: 14.2S/74.7E, MAX WIND=025KT.
60H: 2005/11/10 12 UTC: 15.1S/73.8E, MAX WIND=025KT.
72H: 2005/11/11 00 UTC: 16.5S/73.0E, MAX WIND=025KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=2.0+, CI=2.5-
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS COMPLETELY DISORGANIZED. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION IS POOR.