Back to the RSMC advisories list

Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

---

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/3/20052006
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3

2.A POSITION 2005/11/08 AT 0600 UTC :
10.3S / 77.3E
(TEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/11/08 18 UTC: 11.0S/77.2E, MAX WIND=020KT .
24H: 2005/11/09 06 UTC: 12.0S/77.0E, MAX WIND=020KT .
36H: 2005/11/09 18 UTC: 13.3S/76.1E FILLING UP.
48H: 2005/11/10 06 UTC: 14.6S/75.1E FILLING UP.
60H: 2005/11/10 18 UTC: 16.0S/74.3E DISSIPATING.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED ; ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWARDS THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARDS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.
LAST ISSUE ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.