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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/4/20052006
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4

2.A POSITION 2005/11/07 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 89.7E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 180 SE: 220 SO: 180 NO: 180

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/11/07 18 UTC: 13.6S/88.4E, MAX WIND=030KT.
24H: 2005/11/08 06 UTC: 13.9S/86.8E, MAX WIND=030KT.
36H: 2005/11/08 18 UTC: 14.4S/84.7E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING.
48H: 2005/11/09 06 UTC: 14.9S/82.5E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATED.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.5
THE SYSTEME IS RELOCATED (CF MICROWAVE IMAGERY), THE LLCC CENTRE IS LOCATED EAST OF THE CONVECTIVE AREA. THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER COOLER SST, IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY.