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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 5/4/20052006
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4

2.A POSITION 2005/11/08 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0S / 85.0E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /S 0.5/6 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 040 SE: 300 SO: 250 NO: 040

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/11/08 12 UTC: 17.2S/82.8E, MAX WIND=025KT .
24H: 2005/11/09 00 UTC: 18.3S/80.4E, MAX WIND=025KT , DISSIPATING.
36H: 2005/11/09 12 UTC: 19.5S/78.0E DISSIPATED.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=2.0, CI=2.5-
THE SYSTEM TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARDS, TOWARDS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT (COOLER SST). THE SYSTEM IS THUS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.