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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/4/20052006
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4

2.A POSITION 2005/11/08 AT 1200 UTC :
16.8S / 81.8E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: SE: 050 SO: 030 NO:

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/11/09 00 UTC: 18.3S/79.2E, MAX WIND=020KT.
24H: 2005/11/09 12 UTC: 19.6S/77.2E FILLING UP.
36H: 2005/11/10 00 UTC: 20.9S/75.6E DISSIPATING.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARDS, TOWARDS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT (COOLER SST). THE SYSTEM IS THUS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
LAST WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.