Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4 97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone
02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation 02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction
02.62.92.11.47
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=5.5, CI=5.5+
INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 05-BERTIE HAS BEEN RENAMED ALVIN AS IT HAS CROSSED 90E.
THE SYSTEM IS SYMMETRIC AND CONCENTRATED WITH A VERY CLEAR SMALL AND WARM EYE, WITH SLIGHT WARMING DEEP CONVECTION DURING THIS NIGHT.
IT IS FORECASTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN WESTWARDS BEYOND, ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE BUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE SYSTEM SHOULD THEN SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN AS THE WINDSHEAR INCREASE AND THE AIR BECOMES DRYER (VAPOR SSMI AND WV IMAGERY) OVER COOLER SEA.