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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/6/20052006
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6

2.A POSITION 2005/12/23 AT 0000 UTC :
10.5S / 90.2E
(TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND NINETY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM):
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0
LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS POORLY DEFINED AND FULLY EXPOSED EAST OF AN AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS MODERATE BUT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS WHEN THE SYSTEM TRACK UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.