Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 14/6/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 2.A POSITION 2005/12/26 AT 0600 UTC : 13.5S / 74.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/12/26 18 UTC: 14.0S/72.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2005/12/27 06 UTC: 14.7S/70.4E, MAX WIND=020KT. 36H: 2005/12/27 18 UTC: 15.5S/68.6E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP. 48H: 2005/12/28 06 UTC: 16.3S/66.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP. 60H: 2005/12/28 18 UTC: 17.2S/64.4E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP. 72H: 2005/12/29 06 UTC: 18.3S/62.2E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5, CI=2.0- LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS POORLY DEFINED AND EXPOSED EAST OF THE ASSOCIATED CYCLING CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS STRONGLY EASTERLY SHEARED. IT HAS TRACKED WESTWARDS DURING LAST NIGTH, AND THE RESIDUAL LOW TRACKS NOW WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF HIGH PRESSURES. LAST WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.