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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 20/6/20052006
1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 6

2.A POSITION 2005/12/29 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.5S / 60.5E
(TWENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1007 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/12/29 18 UTC: 23.6S/59.2E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP.
24H: 2005/12/30 06 UTC: 26.5S/60.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING.
36H: 2005/12/30 18 UTC: DISSIPATED.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS POORLY DEFINED AND ASSOCIATED RESIDUAL CONVECTION IS FLUCTUATING.
AVAILABLE NWP MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TO TRACK THE FILLING LOW TOWARDS THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.
MAURITIUS AND LA REUNION ISLANDS ESCAPE FROM THE MOST ACTIVE CLUSTERS.

THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM.